The coldest normals
January in Naples
NCEI's own normals answer whether Naples freezes with a probability, not a date, and January sits at the floor of the twelve-month table.
Read it
Free estimates
Call 239-500-WASH Free estimate Ask a questionNaples, Marco Island, Estero and Bonita Springs, FL
Not the driest
February ranks third-lowest for rainfall in NCEI's 1991 to 2020 table for Naples Municipal Airport, not lowest as some rankings say, and holds its rain inside the narrowest band of any month while its cold nights run milder than January's.
At a glance
Third-lowest of the twelve months for both normal and median rainfall in NCEI's 1991 to 2020 table for Naples Municipal Airport, behind December and November and not first as some rankings claim, February carries a 1.40-inch rain normal and a 67.5 F average. Its rain also sits in the narrowest band of any month, the middle half of its nonzero monthly totals in NCEI's record spanning 0.92 inch, and its cold nights run milder than January's on every NCEI count and probability. February sits near the middle of the South Florida Water Management District's November through May dry season, and UF/IFAS puts the opening of the oak pollen peak in February. None of it is a forecast for any single February.
The spread
Of the twelve months in NCEI's 1991 to 2020 table for Naples Municipal Airport, February holds its rain inside the tightest band of any of them: the middle half of its nonzero monthly totals falls between 0.72 and 1.64 inches, a span of 0.92 inch. December comes closest at 1.28 inches, and March, the widest of any month from December through March, spans 2.44 inches.
That band sits around a 1.40-inch normal, a thirty-year average for the airport, and a 1.09-inch median of the same nonzero monthly totals, each flagged R by NCEI. What a climate normal is, and why NCEI calls one both a ruler and a predictor, is answered on its own page.
The daily chance of at least 0.01 inch drifts down through the month in NCEI's daily normals, a provisional 15.6 percent on February 1 easing to 13.7 percent from February 20 through 25 and 13.8 percent on February 28, and NCEI's month-to-date normal has about 59 percent of February's rain down by the 15th, a thirty-year ratio, not a schedule.
The correction
Some rankings and travel sites call February the driest month in Naples. NCEI's own airport table disagrees: December's 1.32-inch normal and 0.85-inch median are the lowest of the twelve months, November's 1.39 inches and 1.08-inch median come next, and February's 1.40 inches and 1.09-inch median are third, the three normals sitting within 0.08 inch of one another. By both measures the driest month is December in Naples.
What February does hold is a narrower set of runner-up marks. It ties March for the fewest days with at least 0.10 inch of rain, 2.1 apiece on NCEI's provisional count, and carries the lowest third quartile of nonzero monthly totals of any month, 1.64 inches, with December's 1.75 next. Its 4.2 provisional days with at least 0.01 inch are the second-fewest of the twelve, behind November's 3.9.
February's own four normals are 1.40 inches, a 67.5 F average, a 77.2 F normal high and a 57.9 F normal low. The three temperatures sit between January's and March's; the rain normal does not, falling below January's 1.68 inches as well as March's 1.88. That 67.5 F average is the second-lowest of the twelve months, behind only January's 65.3 F, a ranking already read on the twelve-month normals table. The driest-month claim comes from other sites' rankings, not from NCEI's table.
The nights
NCEI's 1991 to 2020 normals count, on average, 15.2 February nights at or below 60 F, 4.8 at or below 50 F and 0.4 at or below 40 F at Naples Municipal Airport, with a 1.1 percent chance of at least one night at or below 32 F and a 10.9 percent chance of one at or below 36 F. Every one of those figures is milder than January's 20.6, 9.1 and 1.7 days and its 4.9 and 21.6 percent probabilities. January in Naples defines the freeze and frost that sit behind these counts; February adds only its own numbers.
Those counts sit beside a sealer's own label, not a calendar rule. Techniseal's NS Natural Look Protector sheet says "Temperature must be between 50 and 85°F during the application and for the next 24 hours"; SEK-Surebond's TB17 bulletin says: "Typically, Surebond sealers should be applied when day and night temperatures are between 40°F and 95°F." Seal 'n Lock's Super-Wet-Look guide puts best results at 60 F to 90 F and its do-not-apply line at 50 F, surface or ambient. Setting February's counts beside those lines is this page's reading, not any maker's: the airport's air is not a paver surface, and the label on the product, with that night's National Weather Service forecast, decides. February's 57.9 F normal low sits under Seal 'n Lock's 60 F best-results mark and above its 50 F floor, a position sealing pavers in a Naples winter already reads for all three winter months.
Water and pollen
February sits near the middle of a dry season the South Florida Water Management District marks November through May, and the district's own water shortage page describes a water shortage as "a temporary declaration made by the Governing Board or the Executive Director" when water conditions "are deemed insufficient to meet the present and anticipated needs of residents and other water users." Water shortage phase and whether a warning restricts a wash carry the phases, the district's dated declarations and its posted status; this page states none of it again.
UF/IFAS's Gardening Solutions page puts February to May as the peak pollinating season for Florida's eleven oak species, adding that some areas, none named, see high counts as early as December, and its March 17, 2026 news release gives South Florida the same February to May peak. Pollen season holds that calendar, and what pollen does to glass is covered at the yellow film that follows in spring and whether pollen actually sticks to a window.
Not by NCEI's 1991 to 2020 normals for Naples Municipal Airport, which put February third-lowest: December's 1.32-inch normal and 0.85-inch median are the lowest of the twelve months, then November's 1.39 and 1.08, then February's 1.40 and 1.09, the three normals within 0.08 inch of one another. February does tie March for the fewest days with at least 0.10 inch, 2.1 on NCEI's provisional count, and has the lowest third quartile of nonzero monthly totals, 1.64 inches.
Yes, in NCEI's daily normals. The provisional probability of at least 0.01 inch falls from 15.6 percent on February 1 to 13.7 percent from February 20 through 25, a smoothed thirty-year frequency that NCEI draws from a 29-day window around each date. It is not a forecast, and it does not add up to a count of rainy days, which NCEI publishes separately.
NCEI's provisional count is 4.2 days with at least 0.01 inch and 2.1 days with at least 0.10 inch, the second figure tied with March for the fewest of the twelve months. Both are thirty-year averages for Naples Municipal Airport, not a forecast for any single February.
Sources
Every technical statement above is drawn from one of these documents. Nothing on this page about 239 Exteriors goes beyond what the company itself states.
Page reviewed September 27, 2026. Florida statutes are quoted from the 2026 Florida Statutes; every image on this page is a labeled concept illustration, not a photograph of a completed job.
Keep reading
The coldest normals
NCEI's own normals answer whether Naples freezes with a probability, not a date, and January sits at the floor of the twelve-month table.
Read itWhere the year turns
NCEI's normals put Naples' nightly low back at 60 F on March 7 and widen its rain spread; NWS Miami's spring fog and the water district's lowest aquifer window follow.
Read itThe calendar
NOAA's climate normals, the hurricane calendar, and the water rules, in one table for the year.
Read itGlossary
A water shortage phase is one of four levels in the district's Rule 40E-21.251, Moderate to Critical, whose restrictions bind only once that phase is declared.
Read itFree estimate
Call 239-500-WASH, or send the form and 239 Exteriors will follow up.
Free estimate
Tell us which surface you are asking about and anything about the property that helps.
Request received
Your request is in. 239 Exteriors will follow up with a free estimate. Need to reach us sooner? Call 239-500-WASH.
The form did not send
Nothing was lost, but this request did not go through. Call 239-500-WASH and we will take the details by phone, or try the form again in a moment.
Request received
Your request is in. 239 Exteriors will follow up with a free estimate. Need to reach us sooner? Call 239-500-WASH.
The form did not send
Nothing was lost, but this request did not go through. Call 239-500-WASH and we will take the details by phone, or try the form again in a moment.